Selasa, 29 Oktober 2013

[J430.Ebook] Free PDF The Conquests of Genghis Khan (Pivotal Moments in History), by Alison Behnke

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The Conquests of Genghis Khan (Pivotal Moments in History), by Alison Behnke

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The Conquests of Genghis Khan (Pivotal Moments in History), by Alison Behnke

Can one man really change the world? If that man is Genghis Khan, the answer is yes. Born around 1161, Temujin, as he was named, grew up in humble surroundings. As a teenager, he fled from enemy raiders, but he became a fearless--and feared--man who commanded an army of thousands and an empire of millions. In fact, by the mid-1200s Genghis Khan's Mongol Empire included much of the known world. Though he was responsible for the deaths of millions, he also showed tolerance for religious and cultural differences among the many peoples he conquered, and he brought stability and unification to a vast area where it had never before existed. Even today, the name Genghis Khan continues to instill fear in some and admiration in others. His election as Great Khan in approximately 1190 is surely one of history's most pivotal moments.

  • Sales Rank: #2887123 in Books
  • Published on: 2008-03-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: .60" h x 6.35" w x 8.78" l, 1.02 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 160 pages

About the Author
Alison Behnke is an editor and writer. She has written numerous books for children. Her Visual Geography Series® titles include Afghanistan in Pictures, China in Pictures, Italy in Pictures, Japan in Pictures, North Korea in Pictures, and South Korea in Pictures. For the Biography® series, she wrote Jack Kerouac and Pope John Paul II. She has also written for the In America and Easy Menu series, as well as The Conquests of Alexander the Great from the Pivotal Moments in History series.

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Jumat, 25 Oktober 2013

[P586.Ebook] Download PDF Physical Rehabilitation (O'Sullivan, Physical Rehabilitation) 6th Edition

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Physical Rehabilitation (O'Sullivan, Physical Rehabilitation) 6th Edition

  • Sales Rank: #6309963 in Books
  • Published on: 1707
  • Binding: Hardcover

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Senin, 14 Oktober 2013

[J297.Ebook] Free PDF In Search of Small Gods, by Jim Harrison

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In Search of Small Gods, by Jim Harrison

“Jim Harrison has probed the breadth of human appetites—for food and drink, for art, for sex, for violence and, most significantly, for the great twin engines of love and death. Perhaps no American writer better appreciates those myriad drives; since the publication of his first collection of poetry . . . Harrison has become their poet laureate.”—Salon.com

In Jim Harrison’s new book of poems, birds and humans converse, biographies are fluid, and unknown gods flutter just out of sight. In terrains real and imagined—from remote canyons and anonymous thickets in the American West to secret basements in World War II Europe—Harrison calls his readers to live fully in a world where “Death steals everything except our stories.” In Search of Small Gods is an urgent and imaginative book—one filled with “the spore of the gods.”

Maybe the problem is that I got involved with the wrong crowd of gods when I was seven. At first they weren’t harmful and only showed themselves as fish, birds, especially herons and loons, turtles, a bobcat and a small bear, but not deer and rabbits who only offered themselves as food. And maybe I spent too much time inside the water of lakes and rivers. Underwater seemed like the safest church I could go to . . .

Jim Harrison is the author of thirty books of poetry, fiction, and nonfiction, including Legends of the Fall and Shape of the Journey. A long-time resident of Michigan, he now lives in Montana and Arizona.

  • Sales Rank: #657259 in Books
  • Published on: 2009-05-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.40" h x .60" w x 6.30" l, .70 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 120 pages

From Publishers Weekly
Harrison (Legends of the Fall) has over decades won a durable following for verse and fiction about the wild places, solitudes and the exhilarations of the American West. This 12th book of verse gives familiar, quotable rural pleasures—solitude, ease, forests and big skies—along with a new focus on the poet's advancing years. I keep waiting without knowing/ what I'm waiting for, Harrison says in Age Sixty-Nine; in that waiting, he adds, on local earth my heart/ is at rest as a groundling. In low-pressure free verse, and in the prose poems that make up half the volume, Western American landscapes and beasts soar and roam off the page. (Mexican places and people, unfortunately, do not: they are leaden stereotypes.) People, for Harrison, are beasts as well, marine organisms at the bottom of the ocean/ of air. Paying homage to instinct, loyalty, memory and a companionable ferocity, Harrison finds his best subjects, often enough, in dogs. I know dog language fairly well, he explains, but then dogs hold a little back from us because we don't know their secret names given them by the dog gods. Barking brings the poet closer to the canine kingdom still: I was a dog on a short chain, he complains, and now there's no chain. (Apr.)
Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

From Booklist
Harrison’s welcoming poems are musings, prayers, vignettes, and fragments of a self-deprecating self-portrait-in-progress. Hoping to avoid the “numbers game of time and money,” the calendared, to-do-list life, he migrates like a bird, walks with his beloved dogs, watches the sun ignite water, and listens to the music of rain. Funny and tender beneath a wry and gruff seen-it-all veneer, Harrison contemplates death, discerns divinity in every stone and leaf, and nobility in ordinary lives, and laughs at our attempts to separate ourselves from the rest of nature. Bears, snakes, cats, a goat in a cemetery, a tree, a spring, all carry memories and messages, if only we could decipher them. In his seventh decade and thirtysomething book, Harrison, writing with more force and lucidity than ever, performs a cosmic soft-shoe beneath the shape-shifting moon, then lifts his head and howls to mark the pain and suffering all around us, from the house down the road to the blasted cities of Iraq. “The gift of the gods / is consciousness,” Harrison declares, and we’d best cherish life’s perpetual metamorphosis. --Donna Seaman

About the Author
Jim Harrison is the author of thirty books, including Legends of the Fall, Dalva, and Shape of the Journey. His work has been translated into two dozen languages and produced as four feature-length films. In 2007, Mr. Harrison was elected to the American Academy of Arts and Letters. He divides his time between Montana and southern Arizona.

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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
A Quintessential American Poet
By Nicholas Trandahl
The late Harrison is, as always, the quintessential American poet. The simplicity of Hemingway dances with the roughness of Raymond Carver and the childlike wonder of Mary Oliver. Jim Harrison was a true master and has become one of my most evident inspirations and favorite writers.

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
The Natural World
By jack sherman
Jim Harrison conveys a love and deep appreciation of nature. His novellas, novels, memoirs and poems all are steeped in his life-long passion for being outside. His "thicket" paradise-- alone basking in the wonder an un-named creek somewhere in N.America--gives him the inspiration to write like no one else.
If you love this realm of pure nature, and our place in it, you will love his books.

7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
In Search of Small Gods
By S. Gemmill
Jim Harrison is one of our most versatile writers and this book of poems is no exception. His prose poems range from the hysterically funny -- like his impersonating a famous physiologist to gain access to the world's fastest female runner -- to the stream-of-consciousness style of "Advice." Those small gods of daily life are exposed again and again in this book. Harrison has done the searching for us.

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Kamis, 10 Oktober 2013

[M654.Ebook] PDF Ebook Applied Survival Analysis: Regression Modeling of Time to Event Data, by David W. Hosmer Jr., Stanley Lemeshow, Susanne May

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Applied Survival Analysis: Regression Modeling of Time to Event Data, by David W. Hosmer Jr., Stanley Lemeshow, Susanne May

THE MOST PRACTICAL, UP-TO-DATE GUIDE TO MODELLING AND ANALYZING TIME-TO-EVENT DATA—NOW IN A VALUABLE NEW EDITION

Since publication of the first edition nearly a decade ago, analyses using time-to-event methods have increase considerably in all areas of scientific inquiry mainly as a result of model-building methods available in modern statistical software packages. However, there has been minimal coverage in the available literature to9 guide researchers, practitioners, and students who wish to apply these methods to health-related areas of study. Applied Survival Analysis, Second Edition provides a comprehensive and up-to-date introduction to regression modeling for time-to-event data in medical, epidemiological, biostatistical, and other health-related research.

This book places a unique emphasis on the practical and contemporary applications of regression modeling rather than the mathematical theory. It offers a clear and accessible presentation of modern modeling techniques supplemented with real-world examples and case studies. Key topics covered include: variable selection, identification of the scale of continuous covariates, the role of interactions in the model, assessment of fit and model assumptions, regression diagnostics, recurrent event models, frailty models, additive models, competing risk models, and missing data.

Features of the Second Edition include:

  • Expanded coverage of interactions and the covariate-adjusted survival functions
  • The use of the Worchester Heart Attack Study as the main modeling data set for illustrating discussed concepts and techniques
  • New discussion of variable selection with multivariable fractional polynomials
  • Further exploration of time-varying covariates, complex with examples
  • Additional treatment of the exponential, Weibull, and log-logistic parametric regression models
  • Increased emphasis on interpreting and using results as well as utilizing multiple imputation methods to analyze data with missing values
  • New examples and exercises at the end of each chapter

Analyses throughout the text are performed using Stata® Version 9, and an accompanying FTP site contains the data sets used in the book. Applied Survival Analysis, Second Edition is an ideal book for graduate-level courses in biostatistics, statistics, and epidemiologic methods. It also serves as a valuable reference for practitioners and researchers in any health-related field or for professionals in insurance and government.

  • Sales Rank: #428630 in Books
  • Brand: Wiley-Interscience
  • Published on: 2008-03-07
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.55" h x 1.00" w x 6.25" l, 1.45 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 416 pages

Review

“This is a great book for anyone analyzing time-to-event data.  Researchers interested in the underlying theory will have to go elsewhere..”  (Stat Papers, 1 December 2012)

"It is well suited for teaching a graduate-level course in medical statistics, and the data sets used in the book are available online." (Biometrical Journal, August 2009)

"This is a superb resource - a practical guide with up-to-date applications. The authors are excellent teachers of the mathematics and application of survival data regression modeling." (Doodys, August 2009)

"The extensive and detailed coverage of the process of survival model fitting, as well as the applied exercises, make this textbook an excellent choice for an applied survival analysis course." (Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics, Volume 18, Issue 6, 2008)

From the Back Cover
THE MOST PRACTICAL, UP-TO-DATE GUIDE TO MODELLING AND ANALYZING TIME-TO-EVENT DATA—NOW IN A VALUABLE NEW EDITION

Since publication of the first edition nearly a decade ago, analyses using time-to-event methods have increase considerably in all areas of scientific inquiry mainly as a result of model-building methods available in modern statistical software packages. However, there has been minimal coverage in the available literature to9 guide researchers, practitioners, and students who wish to apply these methods to health-related areas of study. Applied Survival Analysis, Second Edition provides a comprehensive and up-to-date introduction to regression modeling for time-to-event data in medical, epidemiological, biostatistical, and other health-related research.

This book places a unique emphasis on the practical and contemporary applications of regression modeling rather than the mathematical theory. It offers a clear and accessible presentation of modern modeling techniques supplemented with real-world examples and case studies. Key topics covered include: variable selection, identification of the scale of continuous covariates, the role of interactions in the model, assessment of fit and model assumptions, regression diagnostics, recurrent event models, frailty models, additive models, competing risk models, and missing data.

Features of the Second Edition include:

  • Expanded coverage of interactions and the covariate-adjusted survival functions
  • The use of the Worchester Heart Attack Study as the main modeling data set for illustrating discussed concepts and techniques
  • New discussion of variable selection with multivariable fractional polynomials
  • Further exploration of time-varying covariates, complex with examples
  • Additional treatment of the exponential, Weibull, and log-logistic parametric regression models
  • Increased emphasis on interpreting and using results as well as utilizing multiple imputation methods to analyze data with missing values
  • New examples and exercises at the end of each chapter

Analyses throughout the text are performed using Stata® Version 9, and an accompanying FTP site contains the data sets used in the book. Applied Survival Analysis, Second Edition is an ideal book for graduate-level courses in biostatistics, statistics, and epidemiologic methods. It also serves as a valuable reference for practitioners and researchers in any health-related field or for professionals in insurance and government.

About the Author
David W. Hosmer, PhD, is Professor Emeritus of Biostatistics in the School of Public Health and Heatlth Sciences at the University of Massachusetts Amherst. Dr. Hosmer is the coauthor of Applied Logistic Regression, published by Wiley.

Stanley Lemeshow, PhD, is Professor and Dean of the College of Public Health at The Ohio State University. Dr. Lemeshow has over thirty-five years of academic experience in the areas of regression, categorical data methods, and sampling methods. He is the coauthor of Sampling of Population: Methods and Application and Applied Logistic Regression, both published by Wiley.

Susanne May, PhD, is Assistant Professor of Biostatistics at the University of California, San Diego. Dr. May has over twelve years of experience in providing statistical support for health-related research projects.

Most helpful customer reviews

45 of 45 people found the following review helpful.
A Good Read, but Read it Carefully!
By Paul Thurston
The authors provide a really nice, non-technical survey of the landscape for Cox Proportional Hazards models. A nice aspect of their treatment is the care they take to reference all highly technical texts and journal articles. For example, if you'd like to find out more about goodness-of-fit tests for survival models, the authors provide ample references to the Counting Process Theory of Martingale Residuals.

The first chapter discusses the basic characteristics of survival data, including the notion of censoring (in all of its various forms). Examples of the principle types of censoring are included. The chapter also includes introductory material on the general survival model, including a nice description of the log likelihood function. Curiously, the rigorous definition of the hazard function has been omitted, probably to avoid intimidating readers who are not familiar with formal limits.

Chapter 2 continues to build up the general survival model and introduces the relationship between the survivor function and the cumulative hazard. Pointwise estimators for the survivor function are discussed, including the Kaplan-Meier estimator along with the various variance estimators. Test statistics for comparing two survival populations are introduced, including the Log-Rank and General Wilcoxon statistics. The reader is encouraged to read the counting process treatments of these statistics to see why they produced defensible hypothesis tests.

Chapter 3 is devoted to the Cox Model and Cox's partial likelihood function. Tests for significance of the coefficients are introduced, included the Wald test, log likelihood ratio test and the score test. These are used heavily in the later chapters as the basis of a model-building methodology.

Chapter 4 is a very short, but nicely written chapter explaining how to interpret the values of each regression coefficent. It also describes covariate-adjustment techniques for model diagnostics.

Chapter 5 is just a wonderful chapter which outlines classical model building techniques. This is a great chapter for anyone who has ever been thrown a ton of data (with a bushel of possible covariates) and asked to "fit a model to this stuff".
Readers who have done a lot of purposeful fitting of linear regression models won't find the basic techniques new, but use of survival specific residuals and selection criterion will probably be an eye-opener. The section on assessing the functional form for continuous covariates is also nicely written.
However, the section on Best Subsets Selection was a little too "cook-booky" for my taste.

Chapter 6 is another very nice chapter on goodness-of-fit. It discusses analysis of the various residuals and their use for analysis outliers, testing proportional hazards assumptions and overall Goodness-of-Fit.

Chapter 7 discusses the standard extensions of the Cox model, including stratification and time-varying covariates. Chapter 8 discusses parametric survival models, and is a good introduction to the SAS procedure LIFEREG. The generalization of the Cox model to recurring event data (also know as Aalen's multiplicative intensity model) can be found in Chapter 9.

My only complaint is that each chapter was designed to be read in one sitting. Individual ideas, topics and formulas can be buried in a seemingly unbroken chain of paragraphs. The lack of sub-sub section titles,etc, makes using the text as is somewhat cumbersome to use as a desk reference. I've gotten around this limitation by marking key concepts, etc., in the margin in order to give a "quick search" capability enhancement to the index.

37 of 38 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent Nontechnical Coverage of Survival Analysis
By Michael Kim
Applied Survival Analysis is an excellent book for someone seeking a non-mathematicial explanation of survival analysis. The book covers the motivation behind the development of survival analysis, estimation of survival curves, the Cox proportionial hazards, and some parametric models. The book also covers the major methods used in variable selection, model building, and diagnostics. Someone with an undergraduate background in statistics and econometrics will understand the book. The book relies on text to discuss the methods and uses mathematical formulas only when absolutely necessary. Numerous examples are used to highlight what the text covers. The math that is used is easily understandable. This book is ideal for someone who needs to learn the tools of survival analysis but not how they were derived.

21 of 22 people found the following review helpful.
Great conceptual Introduction to Cox regression analysis
By T Richards
I enjoyed the authors' book on logistic regression analysis in 1989, and this book is just as good, or better, with many extremely practical suggestions on building regression models for survival data. Happily, the authors summarize, compare, and contrast several major texts on survival analysis which have appeared in the past 10 years. For example, they discuss different names used by different authors for score residuals. They present a helpful appendix on the counting process approach to survival analysis, which will make more advanced texts accessible to students; thus, anyone who wants to use survival analysis, at any level, should consult this book, even if he has already studied books by Miller, Lee, Collett, Fleming-Harington,Andersen, et al, etc. An unfortunate drawback to this book is that the first printing contains many careless errors, some of which may affect student learning: for example, the definition of a survival function is misstated. I recommend that you insist on the second or third printing when buying this book, and you will be quite satisfied.

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